Out of nowhere, President Trump is now attempting to tie his campaign promise that Mexico will pay for the construction of a wall on the border to the newly negotiated trade pact that would replace the North American Free Trade Agreement.
In a tweet today, Trump, using dubious logic, declared that he’d made good on his vow by way of coming through on another campaign pledge to renegotiate NAFTA with the leaders of Canada and Mexico.
I often stated, “One way or the other, Mexico is going to pay for the Wall.” This has never changed. Our new deal with Mexico (and Canada), the USMCA, is so much better than the old, very costly & anti-USA NAFTA deal, that just by the money we save, MEXICO IS PAYING FOR THE WALL!
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) December 13, 2018
The Trump administration completed its negotiations on the revised NAFTA, which has been dubbed the United States–Mexico–Canada Agreement, earlier this fall.
The new deal has yet to be ratified by Congress, and the administration faces an uphill climb to getting the support it needs from lawmakers.
There is no consensus that provisions in the new trade deal would result in Mexico funding a border wall, and former Mexican Foreign Minister Luis Videgaray tweeted following the announcement of an initial agreement on the USMCA that Mexico would never pay for the wall, even through the new deal.
We just reached a trade understanding with the US, and the outlook for the relationship between our two countries is very positive. We will NEVER pay for a wall, however. That has been absolutely clear from the very beginning.
— Luis Videgaray Caso (@LVidegaray) August 28, 2018
While the administration could try to include funding for the wall in a bill providing for the USMCA’s implementation, the chances are slim that it could pass in the divided Congress Trump is set to face.
Trump’s vows that Mexico would pay for a border wall to curb illegal immigration were a staple of his campaign rallies in 2016, even earning their own call-and-response portion in Trump’s stump speech.
Mexican leaders repeatedly pushed back on Trump’s insistence that they would foot the bill, and once Trump took office the talk of Mexico paying fell mostly silent.
When the crux of getting Trump’s border wall built eventually became whether Congress would provide funding for it in its annual spending bills, appropriators half-appeased the president by providing over $1 billion for border security that was to include fencing along the border but not a full-blown wall.
But as Trump stares down the prospect of shutting down large portions of the federal government over his demands for more wall funding, he’s engaged in a number of questionable arguments to justify his ask for $5 billion for border security.
Trump has inflated just how much of his border wall has already been built, appearing to conflate fencing along the border with the “big, beautiful wall” he promised in an attempt to justify additional funding for the project.
