A new Fox News poll finds Joe Biden leading Donald Trump in the presidential race nationally by 10 points among likely voters, 53% to 43%.
Last month’s poll gave Biden a five-point lead.
And it’s just not Fox News that has Biden expanding the lead he’s enjoyed all summer.
Biden now leads Trump by 9.3% in the FiveThirtyEight national average.
He leads by 7.6% in Michigan, 6.4% in Pennsylvania, and 7.1% in Wisconsin.
He leads by 4.5% in Arizona, 3.7% in Florida, and 2.3% in North Carolina.
Trump cannot win reelection without carrying Florida, North Carolina and Arizona.
Even if state polls are underestimating Trump as much as they did in 2016, Biden is in position to win.
It is unlikely, however, there are many ‘silent’ Trump voters now that he’s in office encouraging his supporters to be involved.
From Quinnipiac:
FLORIDA: Biden 51%, Trump 40%
PENNSYLVANIA: Biden 54%, Trump 41%
IOWA: Biden 50%, Trump 45%
From Marquette Law School:
WISCONSIN: Biden 46%, Trump 41%
From New York Times/Siena College:
OHIO: Biden 45%, Trump 44%
NEVADA: Biden 48%, Trump 42%
From Cherry Communications:
FLORIDA: Biden 49%, Trump 44%
From EMC Research:
TEXAS: Biden 49%, Trump 49%
From Data Orbital:
ARIZONA: Biden 48%, Trump 43%
From Civiqs:
TEXAS: Biden 48%. Trump 48%
IOWA: Biden 48%, Trump 47%
From Emerson College:
PENNSYLVANIA: Biden 51%, Trump 47%
Biden maintains a steady lead over Trump in Nevada and the two are virtually tied in Ohio.
Biden leads 48 percent to 42 percent among likely voters in Nevada and 45 to 44 percent in Ohio.
Quinnipiac reported Biden had support of 51% of likely voters compared to Trump’s 40%.
Combined with Biden leads in Pennsylvania and Iowa, Quinnipiac polling analyst Tim Malloy said in a written analysis today that “the president’s hopes for re-election are growing dimmer by the day.”
Biden now plans to spend nearly $6 million in advertising efforts in the longtime Republican stronghold of Texas in the final four weeks leading to Election Day.
According to Advertising Analytics, a firm that collects data on campaign ad spending, the Biden campaign has reserved $5.8 million to run ads aimed at Texas voters starting Tuesday and running up until Nov. 3.
The Dallas Morning News reported that the advertising blitz will largely target voters in the Dallas-Fort Worth area, as well as in Houston, San Antonio and Austin.
While President Trump won Texas in 2016 by 9 percentage points, recent polling data shows Trump ahead of Biden by a much more narrow margin.
Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight places Trump at a 1.9-percentage point lead over Biden in Texas as of Tuesday.
While Biden himself has not yet paid a visit to the Southern state, Doug Emhoff, the husband of Democratic vice presidential nominee Sen. Kamala Harris (D-Calif.), has visited San Antonio and Edinburg and is scheduled to appear in Dallas on Tuesday.
With 38 electoral votes, Texas has been a critical state for Republican presidential candidates for decades.
As Trump continues to battle a COVID-19 diagnosis, the Texas Democratic Party has also launched multiple print, digital and audio ad buys in Texas the past couple weeks, with its most recent effort targeting Black voters in the state.
Texas Democratic Party Vice Chair Carla Brailey in a statement called Black voters “the backbone of the Democratic Party.”
“For far too long, Black voters have been taken for granted and investment in our community has been out of reach and difficult to come by,” Brailey said. “We will continue to invest and continue to fight for every vote because we know that when we engage our communities, we win. Trump, [Gov.] Greg Abbott and the rest of the Texas Republicans fear what will happen if Black voters exercise our power in this state.”
Trump’s reelections campaign is also removing millions of dollars in television ad spending aimed at voters in Midwestern states.
According to Advertising Analytics, the Trump campaign has cut at least $2 million in advertising spots in both Michigan and Wisconsin since September.
In the battleground state of Minnesota, which Trump lost in 2016 by only 2 percentage points, the campaign has removed $5 million from its planned fall television ad spending.
This follows reporting from CNN Tuesday that the campaign canceled all planned television ads in Ohio and Iowa.
On Tuesday, in response to reports on the canceling of ads in Ohio and Iowa, the Trump campaign said in a statement that they had made this decision because “President Trump and his campaign are extremely confident about our chances in these states.”
The Biden campaign and Democratic National Committee raised about $150 million more than the Trump campaign and Republican National Committee in August.
In early September, a report from political scientists at the Wesleyan Media Project found that pro-Biden coalitions had spent $59 million to air 106,000 television spots throughout the previous month.
Over the same period, Trump backers spent $36 million to air about 57,000 commercials.
