by Jim Heath | Jun 28, 2020 | Analysis, coronavirus, Fox News, Health
It’s another one of those Trump Era realities best described as unsurprising but nevertheless shocking. Three serious research efforts have put numerical weight — yes, data-driven evidence — behind what many suspected all along: Americans who relied on Fox News, or...
by Jim Heath | Jun 16, 2020 | 2020, Analysis, Electoral Map, Headlines, Joe Biden, Trump
With 138 days to go until the general election, Joe Biden is probably wishing the election were being held today, while Donald Trump is desperately attempting to turn his fate around. Based on our analysis, if the election were today (and this matches what we know...
by Jim Heath | Jun 14, 2020 | 2020, Analysis, Democrats, GOP, Joe Biden, Polls, Trump
For the past four decades in American politics, the comparison any first-term president has most wanted to avoid is to Jimmy Carter. That’s not entirely fair, since Carter governed at an exceptionally difficult time, in the shadow of Vietnam and Watergate and at the...
by Jim Heath | Jun 13, 2020 | 2020, Analysis, Battlegrounds, Headlines, Joe Biden, Polls, Trump
Texas Republicans are on edge as polls show President Trump and presumptive Democratic nominee Joe Biden running neck and neck in the Lone Star State with less than five months to go before Election Day. Most GOP operatives in the state still view Trump as the odds-on...
by Jim Heath | Jun 3, 2020 | 2020, Analysis, Headlines, History, Polls, Trump
President Trump has the highest disapproval rating of any president at this point in office, even worse than one-term president Jimmy Carter. Back during Carter’s presidency, there was a sense of national ‘malaise’ with a bad economy and American...
by Jim Heath | May 21, 2020 | 2020, Analysis, Battlegrounds, Economy, Electoral Map, Headlines, Joe Biden, Trump
President Trump could suffer a historic defeat in the fall if the economy doesn’t sharply recover from the coronavirus pandemic and the disease lingers. That’s according to an election model that has predicted the winner of the popular vote in 16 of the past 18...
